Preseason Rankings
Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#308
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#114
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#254
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 12.8% 40.0% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 23.8% 46.1% 22.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 22.5% 11.8% 22.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.20.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.20.1 - 2.4
Quad 20.3 - 2.80.3 - 5.1
Quad 31.3 - 5.81.7 - 11.0
Quad 47.9 - 8.49.6 - 19.4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 71   @ Saint Louis L 62-78 4%    
  Nov 10, 2018 117   @ Bradley L 65-77 8%    
  Nov 16, 2018 289   Jacksonville L 74-76 43%    
  Nov 17, 2018 314   Chattanooga W 71-70 52%    
  Nov 19, 2018 150   @ South Alabama L 71-80 13%    
  Dec 01, 2018 270   Western Illinois L 72-75 51%    
  Dec 04, 2018 344   @ Mississippi Valley W 78-73 58%    
  Dec 08, 2018 104   Southern Illinois L 66-79 20%    
  Dec 15, 2018 265   @ The Citadel L 87-90 30%    
  Dec 17, 2018 15   @ Florida St. L 69-92 1%    
  Dec 21, 2018 230   Abilene Christian L 72-77 44%    
  Jan 03, 2019 320   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-75 42%    
  Jan 05, 2019 285   Tennessee Martin L 70-72 52%    
  Jan 10, 2019 188   Austin Peay L 73-80 35%    
  Jan 12, 2019 151   Murray St. L 69-78 29%    
  Jan 17, 2019 224   @ Morehead St. L 72-77 25%    
  Jan 19, 2019 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 74-77 32%    
  Jan 24, 2019 320   SIU Edwardsville W 76-75 63%    
  Jan 26, 2019 298   Eastern Illinois L 69-70 56%    
  Jan 31, 2019 109   @ Belmont L 69-81 10%    
  Feb 02, 2019 259   @ Tennessee St. L 67-70 30%    
  Feb 07, 2019 287   Tennessee Tech L 74-76 54%    
  Feb 09, 2019 146   Jacksonville St. L 66-76 28%    
  Feb 14, 2019 285   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-72 34%    
  Feb 16, 2019 298   @ Eastern Illinois L 69-70 36%    
  Feb 21, 2019 188   @ Austin Peay L 73-80 20%    
  Feb 23, 2019 151   @ Murray St. L 69-78 15%    
  Feb 28, 2019 259   Tennessee St. L 67-70 50%    
  Mar 02, 2019 109   Belmont L 69-81 22%    
Projected Record 9.6 - 19.4 6.4 - 11.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.0 0.7 0.2 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.5 3.2 4.2 1.5 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.1 5.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 14.8 11th
12th 1.0 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 14.0 12th
Total 1.0 3.3 5.7 8.5 11.0 12.4 12.2 11.9 10.2 8.1 6.0 4.1 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 99.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1
15-3 69.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 0.2
15-3 0.4% 0.4
14-4 0.7% 0.7
13-5 1.7% 1.7
12-6 2.6% 2.6
11-7 4.1% 4.1
10-8 6.0% 6.0
9-9 8.1% 8.1
8-10 10.2% 10.2
7-11 11.9% 11.9
6-12 12.2% 12.2
5-13 12.4% 12.4
4-14 11.0% 11.0
3-15 8.5% 8.5
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 3.3% 3.3
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%